Kayo Nishimura vs Nagi Hanatani Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Hanatani has achieved a 41.61% win rate on second serve points, outperforming Nishimura, who has managed 35.32% in the same category. Will this be a crucial factor in predicting the winner?
• When it comes to return games, Hanatani has won 49.16% of opponents' second serve points, slightly edging out Nishimura at 47.83%. However, Nishimura leads in first serve return stats with 40.81% compared to Hanatani’s 37.8%.
• Under pressure, Hanatani has saved 50.48% of breakpoints in recent matches, demonstrating stronger resilience compared to Nishimura's 42.31% save rate.
• Over the past year, Nishimura has a slightly higher match win percentage at 53.85%, whereas Hanatani has won 48.39% of their matches.
• Surface preferences could influence the match; Hanatani fares best on Clay with a 46% win rate, while Nishimura excels on Hard surfaces, winning 64% of such matches.
• Both players have competed in similar level tournaments over the last year, with Hanatani winning 48.15% and Nishimura achieving 47.37% at the ITF/Challengers > $10K level.
• Hanatani has faced stronger competition, with opponents ranked on average at 313.58, whereas Nishimura's average opponent rank has been 412.5.
• If the match progresses to a deciding set, Hanatani has the upper hand, winning 62% of these sets, while Nishimura has a 56% winning rate.
• Hanatani has a lower breakpoint conversion rate, at 36.88%, compared to Nishimura’s 41.56%, which might impact opportunities during key moments.

Editorial Prediction (June 6, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the upcoming match, Hanatani shows strength in second serve performance and breakpoint defense, which could be crucial in tipping the scales in tightly contested games.

While Nishimura boasts a slightly higher overall win rate over the past year and a superior first serve return capability, Hanatani's ability to win deciding sets and face higher-ranked opponents might provide confidence in high-stakes situations.

Given the current analysis, the match promises to be closely contested. However, Hanatani's resilience under pressure and capacity to perform in critical moments suggest they may edge out Nishimura in this encounter.

Thus, Hanatani is favored to be the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.